Antony Green
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Antony John Green (born 2 March 1960) is an Australian psephologist and commentator. He is the
Australian Broadcasting Corporation The Australian Broadcasting Corporation (ABC) is the national broadcaster of Australia. It is principally funded by direct grants from the Australian Government and is administered by a government-appointed board. The ABC is a publicly-own ...
's chief election analyst.


Early years and background

Born in
Warrington Warrington () is a town and unparished area in the borough of the same name in the ceremonial county of Cheshire, England, on the banks of the River Mersey. It is east of Liverpool, and west of Manchester. The population in 2019 was estimat ...
, Lancashire, in northern England, Green emigrated to Australia with his family in 1964. He attended
James Ruse Agricultural High School , motto_translation = Deeds not words , established = , type = Government-funded co-educational academically selective and specialist secondary day school , educational_authority = NSW Departm ...
in Sydney, graduating in 1977. Green graduated with a Bachelor of Science in mathematics and computing, and a Bachelor of Economics with honours in politics from the
University of Sydney The University of Sydney (USYD), also known as Sydney University, or informally Sydney Uni, is a public research university located in Sydney, Australia. Founded in 1850, it is the oldest university in Australia and is one of the country's si ...
. He worked initially as a data analyst in the computing industry and for a polling company before joining the ABC in 1989. Green recalls he saw an ad for a six-month position as an ABC election researcher and applied, along with 150 other applicants. His experience and his “slightly bubbly personality” helped him get the position. ABC producer
Ian Carroll Ian Robert Carroll (17 November 1946 – 19 August 2011) was a television executive, primarily at the Australia Broadcasting Corporation (ABC). At the ABC, Carroll established many news and current affairs programs including ''Lateline'' and the ...
and journalist Kerry O’Brien recommended he stay on and he remains with the ABC until today.


Career

Green first appeared on the ABC's election-night television coverage in the 1991 New South Wales election, following with the federal election in 1993. , he had analysed over 70Australian elections at the territory, state and federal level for the ABC, starting with the 1989 Queensland state election to the
2022 Australian federal election The 2022 Australian federal election was held on Saturday 21 May 2022 to elect members of the 47th Parliament of Australia. The incumbent Liberal/National Coalition government, led by Prime Minister Scott Morrison, sought to win a fourth conse ...
, his 12th federal election. He designed the computer system that he uses to display and predict election results based on automated result feeds from Australia's electoral commissions. Green has also worked on elections from as far afield as Canada, New Zealand and the United Kingdom for the ABC. As the ABC's Chief Election Analyst, Green is responsible for the content of its election website. He also has editorial responsibility for its data analysis and for their election night results service. He is considered "the face of election night coverage". In time for the 2013 federal election campaign, Green helped introduce the voter engagement tool
Vote Compass Vote Compass is an interactive, online voting advice application developed by political scientists and run during election campaigns. It surveys users about their political views and, based on their responses, calculates the individual alignment o ...
to the ABC website. It enables voters to gauge how their views align with candidates based on party's statements on issues and also provides Green and other analysts a dataset larger than traditional opinion polls. Green also writes a comprehensive blog on electoral matters. Green has said that he tends not to do campaign commentary and that he "prefers to go into an election night with no preconceived view on the outcome and to just concentrate on understanding the data as it comes in". In a 2015 interview, he explained that some of the work in preparation for his election night coverage can start years earlierincluding building up the database with candidates, polling places and past results and calculating the impact of redistributions. He also recounted the realisation of his recurring nightmare of the power outage during the on air coverage of the
2010 Victorian state election The 2010 Victorian state election, held on Saturday, 27 November 2010, was for the 57th Parliament of Victoria. The election was to elect all 88 members of the Legislative Assembly and all 40 members of the Legislative Council. The incumbent ce ...
. In addition to analysing and commenting on elections for the ABC, Green writes election analysis for third-party media outlets such as ''
The Sydney Morning Herald ''The Sydney Morning Herald'' (''SMH'') is a daily compact newspaper published in Sydney, New South Wales, Australia, and owned by Nine. Founded in 1831 as the ''Sydney Herald'', the ''Herald'' is the oldest continuously published newspaper ...
'' and ''
Crikey Crikey is an Australian electronic magazine comprising a website and email newsletter available to subscribers. Crikey was described by the former Federal Opposition Leader Mark Latham as the "most popular website in Parliament House" in ''The ...
'' and has appeared before the Joint Standing Committee on Electoral Matters of the
Australian Parliament The Parliament of Australia (officially the Federal Parliament, also called the Commonwealth Parliament) is the legislative branch of the government of Australia. It consists of three elements: the monarch (represented by the governor-g ...
urging reform of the ticket voting system used in
Australian Senate The Senate is the upper house of the Bicameralism, bicameral Parliament of Australia, the lower house being the House of Representatives (Australia), House of Representatives. The composition and powers of the Senate are established in Chapter ...
elections.


Honours

In 2014, the
University of Sydney The University of Sydney (USYD), also known as Sydney University, or informally Sydney Uni, is a public research university located in Sydney, Australia. Founded in 1850, it is the oldest university in Australia and is one of the country's si ...
recognised Green with an Honorary Doctor of Letters. This was followed in 2015 by appointment as an Adjunct Professor in Sydney University's Department of Government and International Relations, recognising Green's work in the study of elections. In the Australian 2017 Queen's Birthday Honours List, Green was appointed an Officer of the
Order of Australia The Order of Australia is an honour that recognises Australian citizens and other persons for outstanding achievement and service. It was established on 14 February 1975 by Elizabeth II, Queen of Australia, on the advice of the Australian Gove ...
(AO) "for distinguished service to the broadcast media as an analyst and commentator for state and federal elections, and to the community as a key interpreter of Australian democracy."


Personal life

Green is an avid
cyclist Cycling, also, when on a two-wheeled bicycle, called bicycling or biking, is the use of cycles for transport, recreation, exercise or sport. People engaged in cycling are referred to as "cyclists", "bicyclists", or "bikers". Apart from two ...
, taking long-distance biking trips mostly in Australia and
Europe Europe is a large peninsula conventionally considered a continent in its own right because of its great physical size and the weight of its history and traditions. Europe is also considered a Continent#Subcontinents, subcontinent of Eurasia ...
. He is an ambassador for the
Sydney Swans The Sydney Swans are a professional Australian rules football club based in Sydney, New South Wales. The men's team competes in the Australian Football League (AFL), and the women's team in the AFL Women's (AFLW). The Swans also field a reser ...
football Football is a family of team sports that involve, to varying degrees, kicking a ball to score a goal. Unqualified, the word ''football'' normally means the form of football that is the most popular where the word is used. Sports commonly c ...
club, a team in the
AFL AFL may refer to: Sports * American Football League (AFL), a name shared by several separate and unrelated professional American football leagues: ** American Football League (1926) (a.k.a. "AFL I"), first rival of the National Football Leagu ...
.


In popular culture

Green's contribution to political analysis was celebrated in the song "Antony Green" in the musical ''
Keating! ''Keating!'' is a sung-through musical which portrays the political career of former Australian Prime Minister of Australia, Prime Minister Paul Keating. Keating was Prime Minister between 1991 and 1996; the musical follows him from his ascen ...
'', where he was represented as an animated character.


References


External links


Antony Green's Election BlogAntony Green's Election Blog Archive (ABC)
{{DEFAULTSORT:Green, Antony 1960 births Living people Australian political commentators Psephologists ABC News (Australia) presenters English emigrants to Australia People from Warrington University of Sydney alumni People educated at James Ruse Agricultural High School Officers of the Order of Australia Australian political scientists